Monday 18 January 2016

Crunch time! Zimbabweans must now decide which reforms to demand, GPA or NERA! By Patrick Guramatunhu.


The people of Zimbabwe have been present with two possible options out of the present political and economic nightmare the nation now finds itself in. The last two and half years the nation has debated the merits and demerits of the two options and now it is crunch time – we must now decide. The two proposed solutions are:

 

  1. Either, to go back and demand the implementation of the democratic reforms proposed and agreed in the 2008 GPA
     
  2. Or forget the GPA reforms and demand the implementation of the electoral law reforms as proposed by MDC-T in their recent National Electoral Reform Agenda (NERA). Some 15 opposition parties including Mai Mujuru’s People First, have signalled their support of NERA according to MDC-T.
     

Why should we go back to the 2008 GPA reforms:

  • The GPA reforms were proposed to ensure the restoration of the people’s freedoms and democratic rights including the right to free, fair and credible elections and the right to life itself following the barbarism of Zimbabwe’s 2008 elections. The parties in the GNU were tasked to implement the GPA reforms to ensure there barbarism of the 2008 in which millions were harassed, beaten and/or raped and over 500 were murdered would not be repeated ever again.
     
  • Zimbabweans across the board and outside observers alike agreed at the time that, if fully implemented, the GPA reforms would end the Zanu PF dictatorship and deliver freedom and democracy in Zimbabwe.  
     
  • Not one of the GPA reforms was implemented after five years of the GNU; neither the two MDC factions nor President Mugabe and his Zanu PF friends have ever denied the fact that no reform was ever implemented. SADC, as the guarantor of the GPA, was very disappointed that not even one reform was implemented and they blamed MDC leaders accusing them of “enjoying themselves whilst in the GNU and forgetting why they were there”.
     
  • However, the very fact that none of the parties in the GPA can deny that no reforms were implemented during the GNU also means none of them can justify why we should not revisit the reforms since the set objectives were never accomplished.
     
  • Whilst one appreciates that getting President Mugabe and Zanu PF to go back to the GPA reforms is not going to be easy now that the GPA has expired this is equally true even if we go for option b) above. The overriding concern here is not picking reforms President Mugabe would find easy to implement but rather to stop the country having yet another rigged elections, a repeat of 2013 or, worse still, of 2008.
     
  • President Mugabe is under great pressure from the worsening in fighting within his own party Zanu PF on the one hand and on the other the worsening economic meltdown. The situation is unsustainable and the tyrant should be made to realize that the only way to end this crisis in to implement the democratic reforms and hold fresh free, fair and credible elections. There is no other way out.
     

Why the electoral reforms are a false choice:

 

  • The electoral reforms proposed by Tsvangirai are not seeking in any way to implement the GPA reforms that MDC should have implemented during the GNU. NERA accepts that the GPA reforms were not implemented and will never be implemented because for President Mugabe and Zanu PF to do so would be to “commit political suicide” as Vince Musewe acknowledged.
     
  • What NERA is seeking to accomplish is to make the most of the bad job. Having failed to achieve ZEC independence as demanded by the GPA reforms, for example, NERA wants the task of complying the voters roll taken away from the Registrar General’s Office and handed over to ZEC as stipulated in the new constitution. If the independence of ZEC is not assured then Zanu PF can agree to this and then transfer its operatives in Registrar General’s Office to ZEC. If you know you are playing with a loaded deck of cards you demand the deck to be replace and not that it should reshuffled!
     
  • Last year MDC-T promised that by December 2015 they will have dragged Zanu PF “kicking and screaming” to the electoral law reform table. Many said to that was MDC-T grandstanding and posturing and time has proven them right.
     
  • Undaunted by the past record of failures and wild-goose chases – the worst case being the failure to get even one GPA reform implemented in five years of the GNU -  MDC-T are still promoting NERA and claim they will get SADC support in this. “We are going to sensitive the region and Africa that credible elections are the only way to resolve Zimbabwe’s crisis,” vowed Mwonzora.

“Already, we have had a positive response from the president of Botswana who is also current chair of SADC.”

Of all the SADC leaders, President Ian Khama of Botswana was one of those who pushed hard for the GPA reforms to be implemented during the GNU and therefore was disappointed that no reforms were implemented. He will never endorse compromise reforms that will never deliver free, fair and credible elections.
“Kana wadya gudo, chidya gono!” goes a Shona proverb. (If you are forced to eat a baboon, then eat the healthy big male and not some thin and sickly one!) Now that the GPA has expired President Mugabe and Zanu PF believe they do not need to implement any reforms now, they weathered the SADC pressure during the GNU. To force the regime to accept reforms now will therefore take the concerted and united effort on part of all Zimbabweans, SADC, etc. If there is going to be a united front on reforms then that has to be over reforms that will deliver free, fair and credible elections – the healthy big male baboon - and not some wishy-washy NERA reforms!

6 comments:

  1. It is crunch time alright because, like it or not, time is fast running out for peaceful and orderly change. Only a united front demanding one thing, implementing the GPA reforms stood a chance of forcing Zanu PF to accept political change.

    So the failure to get Zanu PF to accept reforms will mean one of two things; either Zanu PF will stay in office right up to the 2018 elections which they can then rig as has done with other elec-tions in the past. This will put us back to where we are right now and so the political and economic mess will continue.

    Or, unable to continue tolerating the economic hardships the systems has brought, there are street protests, serious outbreak of disease or worse which finally force Zanu PF to accept change. This route will, like all revolutionary changes, result in the loss of blood and treasure. At the end of the day, no one can be sure the any reforms will be implemented.

    The sad tragedy is that most people are failing to see the dangers the failure to reject NERA will bring. There really in no real competition between NERA and GPA reforms. Anyone who has followed MDC’s blundering during the GNU would have any doubt that NERA is another MDC-T project that will accomplish nothing.

    MDC-T is talking of asking SADC to support NERA to get some mileage but they know no SDAC leader will ever do that. SADC leaders know the difference between the GPA reforms and NERA reforms.

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    1. The greatest weakness of our political system is that it has given the power to choose, in this case, to demand NERA or GPA reforms to people who do not have a clue what reforms are about. Not that the subject matter is too complex for them to understand but that they really cannot be bothered. Democracy is a tough and unforgiving system in that it assumes the MDC wildebeest herd following Tsvangirai blindly know have understood the choice before them and therefore know what they are doing.

      Getting the electorate to take the responsibility to use their vote wisely and not just follow leaders blindly is one of the greatest challenges we have to face and overcome if we are ever to have healthy and functional democracy!

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  2. Zimbabweans are paying dearly for Tsvangirai and his MDC friends' failure to implement even one GPA reform during the five years of the GNU. The nation believe MDC's promise that the elections would be free, fair and credible and by noon of elections-day, 31 July 2013, the nation had a very rude awakening because Mugabe blatantly rigged the elections.

    The people have had two and half years of post-election time to review what happened during the GNU and how MDC had betrayed the nation in failing to implement the reforms. If the people have failed to understand what happened during the GNU with all the information there before them; they will be no wiser even if they are allowed more time to review the information.

    It is not so much that the people cannot make up their mind which reforms are required but rather that they do not have a clue what the reforms are about. MDC has a political presence and they have used it to promote NERA, in the absence of public protest it is assumed that Zimbabwean public support the MDC position.

    After the disaster of the GNU betrayal the Zimbabwean people should have woken up and become super vigilant. Sadly they are still in their usual comatose mental state and MDC's blundering is dragging the nation straight into yet another disaster. Those who will not learn from the past are destined to repeat the same mistakes over and over again, passing the penalty with each repeated pass, until they learn.

    My fear is the nation will be killing time talking about NERA and nothing will change until time for the next elections. Zanu PF will once again rig the elections; MDC will make a big fuss about reforms to stop Zanu PF rigging elections and we will be back where we are right now!

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    1. I believe Zimbabweans are starting to open their eyes and now see leaders like Tsvangirai and Mujuru for the corrupt and incompetent people they are. Tsvangirai is having a tough time selling his NERA as a solution to end vote rigging and end Zimbabwe’s culture of political violence.
      On 9 November 2015 Newsday reported that 17 MDC supporters including MDC Highfield East MP, Erick Murai were arrested by the Police. 10 other MDC supporters were hospital-ised after “a fearsome clash” with the Police. MDC supporters were accused of holding an illegal gathering.
      The usual story; MDC apply for permission to hold the rally, the Police granted the permission but latter cancelled because Zanu PF thugs would not allow the rally to go ahead. Zanu PF thugs fight to disrupt the rally and the Police come to Zanu PF thugs’ aid!
      Tsvangirai and the other MDC leaders’ standard response is to ask their supporters to fight back! So Tsvangira has NERA in one hand and weapons to distribute to his supporters in the other. He clearly has no confidence his electoral law reforms will stop the usual violence. No wonder not many people have accepted NERA!

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  3. @ Choto
    I agree 100% with you on your second point that NERA is just a distraction to draw the peo-ple's attention away from the real issue of GPA reforms.

    As for the first point, if we are serious about ending the Zanu PF dictatorship then there is no other way than going back to implementing the reforms. How else do you propose ending?

    Or are you saying we should throw in the towel and give up because "Mugabe and his cabal will never be put in a corner (of the GPA) like that again"? Giving up is not an option, not when you consider the tragic human suffering and deaths the regime has brought on the na-tion.

    The years of misrule have resulted in Zanu PF imploding and the current economic meltdown which getting worse all the time. The two events are forcing Zanu PF to accept that they have failed and the only way out is for them to accept political reform. The opportunity is there for the people to then define what kind of reform they want.

    Many Zimbabweans failed to see the opportunity to implement the democratic reforms during the GNU it is not surprising that they are failing to see another opportunity now. When you spend most of your time with your head up leaders like Tsvangirai or Mugabe's backsides it is no surprise that you see little. Many of our people need the backside kicked hard to force them to take a breath of fresh air!

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  4. There was PF meeting in Masvingo attended by Dzikamai Mavhaire, Kudakwashe Bhasikiti, 30 war vets and a few other people.
    Some war vets are like top branches, they sway in every breeze. How many of these war vets were with solidly behind Jabulani Sibanda and his thugs in 2008? Since Sibanda is a senior PF member, these are all his thugs. In 2008 the war vets terrorized the nation to have Mugabe re-elected they now want to do the same for Mujuru!

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